A wider regional middle east war could be very close
Things are getting very very dangerous. As the BBC cheers on the protesters there will be those in Israel doing the maths on what a government containing a significant Muslim Brotherhood element will mean for Israel.
Unless they are terminally naive, and I think we can assume they aren't, they must look on this as potentially being required to fight on 4-5 fronts (vs Hamas, Hezbollah/Lebanon, Syria, Iran & Egypt) in a war for survival at a time of their enemies choosing. With the thousan
ds of terror missiles the world has allowed Hezbollah to install and who knows what's been smuggled into Gaza Israel could be under bombardment across its entire territory at the same time as it needs maximum logistically flexibility.
In short this is a condition any military advisor may reach the conclusion that the situation is untenable, leaving pre-emption as the only option. ( A logic easily followed by the military establishments of the established states who would be on a hair trigger to respond or even get their retaliation in first ).
This is horribly horribly unstable.
Not you don't need an opinion on the Palestinian / Israeli dispute to reach these conclusions.
So as everyone cheers on regime change in Egypt remember the year may end in at best a very nervous nuclear armed Mexican hair triggered stand off.
I imagine the CIA is busy trying to prevent this by controlling the succession or preventing a revolution .. unless Obama has stopped them.
See also: From Wikipedia a map of who's been at war with Israel in the past 70 years ( dark green means has been at war - the other light green countries are predominately Arab countries . )
