- The Conservative share of the vote held up - the Lib Dem didn't:Con from 45% to 43% , Lib Dems 46% to 33%or to put it another way "Not winning here". ( Sorry couldn't resist that. )
- Labour appear to have done better, but this is really all in the Maybury & Sheerwater ward where "local factors have dominated and personalities and other relationship ties perhaps trump politics.Lab from 5% to 15%
- UKIP have more than doubled their vote almost everywhere they stood. Numbers in 2008 were at the level that straight mistakes in the polling booth might deliver, now this is no longer the case. If you assume that UKIP voters are mostly Conservatives this is going to start costing Woking Conservatives seats very soon. ( This is perhaps an assumption that can be applied only in part. UKIP also appeal to Labour voters strongly. )UKIP from 4% to 8% ( which is 10% if you consider only those wards UKIP stood in)The UKIP vote is below the 14% that was reported nationally, but is on a clear upward trajectory in an election that UKIP would not normally expect to do well in.
Perhaps I should also add that I expect there was a certain amount of refusing to turn out by some Conservative and Lib Dem supporters - angry with their parties in government, but not willing to vote for another party. ( The parties themselves will have far better information having watched the count and with electoral role information saying who vote ( but not for whom of course! ) which can be cross referenced with their own canvassing returns. But they won't be sharing that !)