Friday, November 05, 2010

Legends of the fall

There has been a slow trickle of articles in the UK hinting at US decline, and its in danger of turning into an avalanche.

These aren't the usual anti-American type articles of the type that made up the popular Bush cowboy hating period of the left a few years ago.

They are articles that foretell US decline and maybe fall as the true nature of the debt in the US and its trade imbalance becomes impossible to deny any longer. See James Warner today as an example.

I've blogged this week that the UK/France defence agreement needs to be seen just as much int he light of US decline and EU plotting for a Euro Navy. Other articles explain how the UK may have opportunities in the coming US weakness and decline.

Of course American's can see this coming, or at least some can. Hence the US Tea Party movement. The US tends to win the battles that it recognises and puts its shoulder to and perhaps American's are waking up to the damage of deficit and debt denial ( of the type that our left wing media continues to crave - and of course many Labour party member's recommend - no idea what Labour party policy actually is this weak, but now thankfully they're irrelevant ).

But a fall is coming.

The US will soon have no ability to launch astronauts. The US will soon have to retire carrier battlegroups and carry out the sort of defence review the UK has just had. The US will soon need to have its "withdrawal east of Suez" moment as it gives up on being the worlds only superpower. And the rest of us are going to have to live with the consequences, and we will learn the hard way what the US has been doing for us all these years.

I personally would bet on Americans bouncing back - but they will need to face up to the horror of the debt they have incurred and the misery of repaying it first. ( Just as we may yet have to do. )

The story of the Fall of Pax Americana has started and who knows what legends we will witness over the next few decades.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

It might be in China's interest ( and others) to keep the USA military in status quo - meantime the american debt rise. And China gets more powerful.
A scenaria like early WW2 and Britain would really shift power.
China could fund a war in exchange for Alaska or some such.

The Shaved Ape said...

You said: "I personally would bet on Americans bouncing back - but they will need to face up to the horror of the debt they have incurred and the misery of repaying it first. ( Just as we may yet have to do. )"

From sunny Laguna Beach, California, I could not agree more.

We have a $14 trillion debt load and a "president" who is spending all his time dreaming up ways to spend more.

G20 leaders are looking at him like he's crazy, and so are the people of the USA.