Friday, August 18, 2006

Economist leads with Nasrallah wins the war

Don't think I would go so far, but mostly as I don't think the war is over - this has only been an opening battle. The UN looks like being its ineffective best again. Hezbollah will keep it weapons and use them again. Israeli military planners will therefore already be planning the next battle to win the war.

The UN and Lebanese government just look like providing the half time oranges - not stopping the fight. They're talk of peace making is false - and they know it.

Iran and Syria are boasting about the battle - now they have no need of dead children to wave in front of the media. Iran is busy putting on cartoon exhibitions that deny the organised extermination of Jews by Nazi fascist forces in the 1940s.

Can anyone think this is over ? Syrians are now clamoring for war over the Golian heights - I can't see how Israel can give those up with out secure peace with Syria.

Its not a ceasefire - just a time out to rearm and rethink. Israel at least looks willing to learn lessons fast. They have suffered much more than they thought to guided missile technology used by Hezbollah and provided via Iran. Soon precision guided long range rockets will be in their arsenal with war heads provided by Iran.

How long does anyone think Israel will be able to sit by and watch this build up ? How long before Hezbollah or another group try to attack Israel again ?

The time table to the next war is now set up. And those who pushed for the ceasefire and allowed the botched UN resolution to go though are responsible for those who will be its victims.

Sorry to be so down - but that's how it looks to me this morning. ( There is a more positive spin which suggests that now Arab honour has been satisfied and Israel has more reasons to want long term peace that a negotiated peace may now follow. I hope that's right - I just don't believe it.)

Update: For another view see Edward Luttwak in the First Post.

1 comment:

DFH said...

The time table to the next war is now set up. And those who pushed for the ceasefire and allowed the botched UN resolution to go though are responsible for those who will be its victims.

I agree, and share your pessimism.